{
  "TOT_MDCR_STDZD_PYMT_PC": {
    "label": "Total standardized payment per capita ($)",
    "actual": {
      "2014": 7050.65,
      "2015": 7391.22,
      "2016": 7540.94,
      "2017": 7669.66,
      "2018": 7716.87,
      "2019": 7818.83,
      "2020": 7273.65,
      "2021": 8137.22,
      "2022": 8567.43,
      "2023": 9314.45,
      "2024": 9544.33
    },
    "synthetic": {
      "2014": 7048.67,
      "2015": 7386.1,
      "2016": 7522.93,
      "2017": 7694.77,
      "2018": 7973.28,
      "2019": 8207.14,
      "2020": 7739.82,
      "2021": 8612.13,
      "2022": 8754.18,
      "2023": 9373.73,
      "2024": 10169.5
    },
    "gap": {
      "2014": 1.98,
      "2015": 5.12,
      "2016": 18.01,
      "2017": -25.11,
      "2018": -256.41,
      "2019": -388.31,
      "2020": -466.17,
      "2021": -474.91,
      "2022": -186.75,
      "2023": -59.28,
      "2024": -625.17
    },
    "weights": {
      "WY": 0.4298,
      "ME": 0.2827,
      "DC": 0.1674,
      "DE": 0.115,
      "AK": 0.0051
    },
    "pre_rmspe": 15.693,
    "post_pre_rmspe_ratio": 25.129,
    "placebo_p": 0.32,
    "specification": "demeaned (intercept-shifted)",
    "test_statistic": "post-period RMSPE",
    "n_placebos_used": 49,
    "holdout_2017_error": {
      "in_sample_rmspe_2014_16": 2.794,
      "holdout_2017_abs_error": 103.353,
      "holdout_pct_of_level": 1.348,
      "overconfidence_factor": 37.0
    },
    "mean_post_gap": -351.0,
    "mean_post_gap_pct": -4.04
  },
  "IP_CVRD_STAYS_PER_1000_BENES": {
    "label": "Inpatient stays per 1,000",
    "actual": {
      "2014": 210.04,
      "2015": 219.62,
      "2016": 218.82,
      "2017": 220.57,
      "2018": 219.02,
      "2019": 213.84,
      "2020": 177.57,
      "2021": 176.96,
      "2022": 175.67,
      "2023": 180.59,
      "2024": 177.91
    },
    "synthetic": {
      "2014": 215.15,
      "2015": 218.06,
      "2016": 217.11,
      "2017": 218.73,
      "2018": 214.51,
      "2019": 210.0,
      "2020": 171.86,
      "2021": 172.16,
      "2022": 168.79,
      "2023": 175.3,
      "2024": 177.15
    },
    "gap": {
      "2014": -5.11,
      "2015": 1.55,
      "2016": 1.71,
      "2017": 1.84,
      "2018": 4.51,
      "2019": 3.83,
      "2020": 5.7,
      "2021": 4.8,
      "2022": 6.88,
      "2023": 5.28,
      "2024": 0.76
    },
    "weights": {
      "MA": 0.4095,
      "NH": 0.3684,
      "AK": 0.1618,
      "NV": 0.0604
    },
    "pre_rmspe": 2.954,
    "post_pre_rmspe_ratio": 1.651,
    "placebo_p": 0.62,
    "specification": "demeaned (intercept-shifted)",
    "test_statistic": "post-period RMSPE",
    "n_placebos_used": 49,
    "holdout_2017_error": {
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      "holdout_2017_abs_error": 2.883,
      "holdout_pct_of_level": 1.307,
      "overconfidence_factor": 0.9
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    "mean_post_gap": 4.54,
    "mean_post_gap_pct": 2.46
  },
  "ER_VISITS_PER_1000_BENES": {
    "label": "ED visits per 1,000",
    "actual": {
      "2014": 651.6,
      "2015": 675.48,
      "2016": 662.27,
      "2017": 661.76,
      "2018": 670.58,
      "2019": 669.9,
      "2020": 541.77,
      "2021": 585.45,
      "2022": 626.76,
      "2023": 657.2,
      "2024": 671.55
    },
    "synthetic": {
      "2014": 652.65,
      "2015": 673.9,
      "2016": 662.88,
      "2017": 661.68,
      "2018": 647.57,
      "2019": 623.03,
      "2020": 487.46,
      "2021": 506.98,
      "2022": 517.32,
      "2023": 520.54,
      "2024": 522.89
    },
    "gap": {
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      "2015": 1.59,
      "2016": -0.61,
      "2017": 0.08,
      "2018": 23.01,
      "2019": 46.86,
      "2020": 54.31,
      "2021": 78.47,
      "2022": 109.44,
      "2023": 136.66,
      "2024": 148.66
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    "weights": {
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      "MS": 0.2499,
      "DC": 0.2205,
      "AK": 0.0882,
      "RI": 0.0578
    },
    "pre_rmspe": 1.001,
    "post_pre_rmspe_ratio": 95.945,
    "placebo_p": 0.04,
    "specification": "demeaned (intercept-shifted)",
    "test_statistic": "post-period RMSPE",
    "n_placebos_used": 49,
    "holdout_2017_error": {
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      "holdout_2017_abs_error": 0.013,
      "holdout_pct_of_level": 0.002,
      "overconfidence_factor": 0.0
    },
    "mean_post_gap": 85.34,
    "mean_post_gap_pct": 15.62
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}